

Ian Bremmer


The good news is that, as things stand, Maduro’s capture is unlikely to lead to a surge of violence.

The year ahead will be a time of great uncertainty because the U.S. is unwinding its own global order.

In the year ahead, Trump will up the ante but face new limits to imposing his will at home and abroad.

The full details are not yet clear but reportedly include demands to cede more territory and limit its armed forces.
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The U.S. President is weighing the options, and risks, of a war amid a major military build up in the Caribbean.

The death of former PM and longtime opposition leader Raila Odinga leaves a large political vacuum.

He has faced legislative defeats at a time of scandal, and is set for a poor midterm election later this month.


There are signs Washington and Delhi may get to a trade deal this year.
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A return to war with Israel is unlikely. But pressure on the economy, and the regime, is about to go up fast.

"The scramble for AI inputs, and the ability to deny rivals access to them, will determine the balance of power in the 21st century."

Despite President Trump’s demands that Russia halt attacks on Ukraine soon, Putin still believes time is on his side, writes Ian Bremmer.

The next few years could see various anti-migrant, Euroskeptic parties make major political gains.

The populist Karol Nawrocki, a historian with no political experience, takes office on Aug. 6. The country must buckle up for a bumpy ride.
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